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Saturday, June 21, 2025

Weekend reading links

No-frills airlines, of which Indigo is one of the world’s best examples, accounted for half the total seat capacity in 2014. A decade later, their share had shot up to over two-thirds, helped in no small measure by full-service carrier Jet Airways’ collapse in 2019... China has seen a bigger decline in airfares since 2011—45%—than India. That’s partly a function of how competitive the market is. China has 146 operating airlines, including global ones, compared with 91 in India. The latter had over 100 pre-Covid. Go First, formerly Goair, was the last prominent airline to bite the dust when it declared bankruptcy in 2023. Over 15 Indian airlines have failed in the past two decades, according to IATA.

2. The Ken has a story on Indian automaker's rare earths dependence.

India imported about 2,270 tonnes of rare earth minerals in FY24, up 15% from the previous year. According to Volza, a platform that tracks import data, there were 42 Indian buyers in 2024, sourcing from 43 suppliers around the world.

Rare earths have a critical role in EV manufacturing

Rare earth elements (REEs) include 17 elements, mostly placed on one side of the periodic table. These are what make permanent magnet synchronous motors (or PMSMs) go. PMSMs are the de facto standard for EVs, especially in two- and three-wheelers. Other REEs like Yttrium and Lanthanum quietly show up in your battery cathodes and electrodes... Electric vehicles are powered by lithium batteries. But to actually move, they need magnets. Not just any magnets—rare-earth permanent magnets made from things like neodymium and praseodymium. They sit inside motors and quietly make everything spin... the rare-earth permanent magnet is the invisible hero of modern mobility—sitting inside motors, power steering systems, infotainment units, even automatic window mechanisms. Basically anything that makes EVs feel like tomorrow’s tech instead of just today’s transport.

General Electric. Procter & Gamble. IBM. For years, those companies and a handful of others were held aloft as “CEO Factories,” admired for their ability to recruit and mold corporate chiefs. Over a 20-year span, just three dozen companies produced one-fifth of the chief executives in the entire S&P 1500 index... the dominance of the traditional CEO factories is fast becoming a thing of the past. The companies most notably taking their place: consulting firms. Alumni of Accenture, Deloitte, PwC, EY and even little-known Swiss staffing firm The Adecco Group have all grabbed a bigger share of global CEO roles over the past 15 years, according to an exclusive analysis of the career paths of the CEOs at more than 4,300 global public companies. Meanwhile, the influence of storied CEO factories like GE and IBM has diminished, according to the analysis by Live Data Technologies.
According to the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI’s) projections, a 10 per cent increase in oil prices from the baseline assumption can push up the inflation rate by 30 basis points and reduce the growth rate by 15 basis points. A substantially higher increase in oil prices would inevitably have a bigger impact. The RBI’s Monetary Policy Report in April had a baseline assumption for crude oil (Indian basket) at $70 per barrel for 2025-26.

5. India's use of anti-dumping duties (ADD) to combat "material injury" to domestic industries arising from dumping.

From 1995 to 2023, India initiated over 1,100 investigations — more than the US or European Union — targeting not only China but also the EU, Switzerland, South Korea, Japan, and others. In 2024 alone, India launched 47 trade remedy investigations — 37 aimed at Chinese products like aluminium foil, vacuum flasks, and steel... In the past five years, India has imposed 133 anti-dumping measures on 418 products, many in the chemicals sector. Firms that rely on these chemicals as inputs face a constant threat of sudden duties, resulting in price volatility and supply disruptions.

6. Indian economy facts

Private final consumption expenditure (PFCE), which makes up nearly 60 per cent of India’s GDP, fell from a growth rate of 6.8 per cent in the pre-Covid years to 4.1 per cent in 2019-20 (FY20). After a brief post-pandemic recovery, it fell again: To 5.6 per cent in FY24, according to the RBI, and an even weaker 4.4 per cent, according to the National Statistics Office... Since mid-2023, growth in personal loans has fallen off the cliff — from 22 per cent then or 10 per cent or so now — reducing consumption... merchandise exports, which fell 12.8 per cent in FY24 and are expected to grow by only 2 per cent in FY25... According to the Forward-Looking Survey of the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, actual intended private-sector capex will fall from ₹6.56 trillion in FY25 to ₹4.9 trillion in FY26, a fall of 26 per cent... According to the government data, net payroll addition under the Employee Provident Fund was -5.1 per cent in FY24 and -1.3 per cent in FY25. The Naukri Jobseek Index of white collar jobs has flattened since FY23.

7. Disturbing data on a surge in Chinese exports despite all the trade war restrictions.

This year so far, China’s trade surplus with the world is nearly $500 billion — a more than 40 percent increase from the same period last year... China has made 45 percent more electric vehicles this year, even as Chinese companies are engaged in a vicious price war at home because of flagging consumer appetite. Exports of electric vehicles have soared 64.6 percent this year, according to the Chinese Association of Automobile Manufacturers.

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